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2024-12-14 01:19:18

Guotai Junan: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in liquor, beverages, popular food and other fields. Guotai Junan Research Report pointed out that 1) Liquor: Determine ahead of growth, pay attention to the wholesale price trend and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. The report end of liquor industry began to enter the downward period in the second quarter of 2024, and the bottom shock is expected in the first half of 2025. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period. 2) Beer and beverage: the performance of beer is divided and the beverage structure is prosperous. In the third quarter of 2024, the number of trips in the summer peak season was stronger than the price, and the number of trips maintained a recovery and growth trend. The beverages with low-cost/high-frequency consumption characteristics benefited significantly and the demand resilience was prominent; The regional brand of beer performance differentiation is better than the national brand, and it is expected to be repaired under the low expectation in 2025. It is expected that the passive upgrading trend and regional brand advantages will continue. 3) Popular food: marginal improvement and structural differentiation. Mass food improved marginally in the third quarter, with obvious structural differentiation. The cost reduction is gradually reflected, low cost and low price become the trend, the advantages of high cost-effective products are highlighted, and the key layout is two ends; The valuation premium of growth stocks has been significantly digested, focusing on growth track snacks, and paying attention to adjusted condiments, catering supply chain and low valuation oversold and high dividend targets.The application direction of AI fell in early trading, with Jincai Internet falling more than 8%, followed by Tianyu Digital, Huayang Lianzhong, Fushi Holdings, Aofei Entertainment and Fengyuzhu.Inter-bank cash bonds are strong as a whole, and national debt and CDB active bonds are down by 3-5bp. The 5-year treasury bonds and CDB active bonds went down by about 5bp, and "24 Treasury bonds with interest 20" reported 1.42%, which was a record low compared with yield to maturity, a Chinese bond in the same period, and "24 CDB 08" reported 1.515% in the same period, a record low since January 26th, 2006. The 10-year "24 interest-bearing treasury bonds 11" initially declined, and now it remains below 1.8%.


Lianxiang Co., Ltd. and others set up a new digital technology company. The enterprise search APP shows that recently, Zhejiang Lianxi Digital Technology Co., Ltd. was established, with Li Xiaoliang as the legal representative and a registered capital of 10 million yuan. Its business scope includes: the first type of value-added telecommunications services; The second kind of value-added telecommunications services, etc. Enterprise investigation shows that the company is jointly held by Lianxiang and others.The Nikkei 225 index fell to 1%.Good wife set up an intelligent technology company in Quanzhou, and the enterprise search APP shows that Quanzhou Sunguest Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd. was established recently, with the legal representative of Cao Caifeng and the registered capital of 500,000 yuan. Its business scope includes: engineering and technical research and experimental development; Network and information security software development; Software development; Digital technology services, etc. Enterprise equity penetration shows that the company is wholly owned by Haotai.


The retail sector continued its upward trend of Zhongbai Group for 10 days and 7 boards, and the retail sector continued its upward trend. Zhongbai Group for 10 days and 7 boards, Maoye Commercial and Actually Zhijia had daily limit, and Guangbai shares, Dashang shares, Central Shopping Mall and Hongqi Chain opened higher collectively.Maotai Group had an exchange discussion with Huawei. Kweichow Moutai official news on December 13th. On December 12th, Zhang Pingan, managing director of Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd. and CEO of Huawei Cloud, visited Maotai and held an exchange discussion with Zhang Deqin, Party Secretary and Chairman of Maotai Group.HKEx: The database of integrated fund platform funds was launched, and the database of integrated fund platform funds was announced by HKEx, covering more than 2,000 funds approved by the Hong Kong Securities Regulatory Commission, aiming at improving the information transparency of Hong Kong fund investment products.

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